![]() ![]() ![]() The estimated intervals for R and growth rate may not exactly correspond to each other due to the submission of different independent estimates and rounding in presentation. For example, a significant amount of variability across a region due to a local outbreak may mean that a single average value does not accurately reflect the way infections are changing throughout that region.Įstimates for R and growth rates are shown as a range, and the true values are likely to lie within this range. When the numbers of cases, hospital admissions or deaths are at low levels and/or there is a high degree of variability in transmission across a region, then care should be taken when interpreting estimates of R and the growth rate. These are the latest R and growth rate estimates by NHS England regions. Latest growth rate range for England 0% to +4% per dayĪn R value between 1.0 and 1.2 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 10 and 12 other people.Ī growth rate of between 0% and +4% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 0% and 4% every day. There is increased uncertainty in both national and regional estimates at present, due to changes in testing policy, which make trends in data streams less clear. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare. R value and growth rate for Wales ( Cymraeg)Įstimates of R and growth rates are averages over different epidemiological situations and should be regarded as a guide to the general trend rather than a comprehensive description of the epidemic state. ![]() The latest ranges for R values and growth rates in the devolved administrations are published on their respective websites: To provide feedback, email State of the UK epidemicĮstimates of the R value and growth rate for England and NHS regions are given below. Coronavirus (COVID-19) incidence data will continue to be accessible from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) COVID-19 Infection Survey, UK Statistical bulletins.Īll UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) data publications will be kept under constant review. This publication of the R value and growth rate on 23 December 2022 will be the final one. ![]()
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